SEC suit against Harbinger indicates they view float lockdowns and other manipulation to create short squeezes as illegal

One thing that surprised me at first about the SEC lawsuit against Jerry S. Williams (aka “Monk”) is that they did not charge him with market manipulation for his float lock-down schemes. It seemed to be an obvious case of market manipulation — attempting to buy every share in the float so that the traders in the group could squeeze market makers who ended up short. After some consideration, I now think Williams’ alleged lies and scalping of his followers prevented the float lockdown from ever having a chance at success, and if his intent was to scalp his followers then it would be hard to win a market manipulation case against him. At the very least, scalping is clearly illegal and easy to prove, making a market manipulation charge superfluous.

Despite this, I am certain that the SEC views float lock downs as market manipulation. This is shown by the suit the SEC filed a month ago against Philip Falcone and his hedge fund Harbinger Capital Partners LLC (and related entities). See the litigation release about that case. Below is an excerpt from that litigation release (emphasis mine):

Market Manipulation / Illegal Short Squeeze

In a separate civil action, the SEC alleges that from 2006 through early 2008 Falcone and two Harbinger investment management entities manipulated the market in a series of distressed high-yield bonds issued by MAAX Holdings Inc. In this fraudulent scheme, Falcone and the Harbinger entities allegedly orchestrated an illegal “short squeeze” – a market manipulation scheme in which an investor constricts the supply of a security, through large purchases or other means, with the intent of forcing settlement from short sellers at arbitrary and inflated prices.

The SEC’s complaint alleges that at Falcone’s direction, Harbinger purchased a large position in the MAAX bonds during April and June of 2006. After hearing rumors that a Wall Street financial services firm was shorting the MAAX bonds and also encouraging its customers to do the same, Falcone decided to seek revenge. In September 2006, Falcone directed the Harbinger-managed funds to buy every available bond in the market, often purchasing the bonds from short sellers. Ultimately, Falcone raised the funds’ stake to approximately 13 percent more than the available supply of the MAAX bonds.

At one point, Harbinger had purchased 22 million more bonds than MAAX had ever issued. Contemporaneously with these purchases, Falcone locked up the MAAX bonds the Harbinger funds had purchased in a custodial account at a bank in Georgia to prevent his brokers from lending out the bonds to sellers seeking to deliver the bonds to purchasers after short sales.

Having seized control of the supply of the MAAX bonds, Falcone then demanded that the Wall Street firm and its customers settle their outstanding MAAX short sales, not disclosing that it would be virtually impossible to find bonds available for delivery. The Wall Street firm bid daily for the bonds, which quickly doubled in price. Then, Falcone engaged in a series of transactions with certain short sellers at arbitrary, inflated prices, while at the same time valuing the funds’ holdings on his books at a small fraction of the prices he charged the covering short sellers.

The full complaint on the market manipulation charge against Harbinger and Falcone is here (pdf). While there are more details to the story than stated above it seems clear to me that the SEC has taken the position that buying up more than all the shares (or in this case, bonds) outstanding to then create a short squeeze and force shorts to cover at artificially high prices is illegal. Below are a few more details from the complaint:

19. By engaging in the conduct described herein, Defendants Falcone, HCP Offshore
Manager, and HCP Special Situations GP illegally manipulated the market for MAAX zips and
thereby violated Section 17(a) ofthe Securities Act of 1933 (“Securities Act”) [15 U.S.C. §5i ;. i77q(a)] and Section IO(b) ofthe Securities Exchange Act of 1934 (“Exchange Act”) [15 US.C. §
78j(b)] and Rules lOb-5 thereunder [17 C.F.R. § 240.10b-5].

102. As described above, Defendants Falcone, HCP Offshore Manager, and HCP
Special Situations GP, acting knowingly, illegally manipulated the market for the MAAX zips
bonds by taking a series of steps intended to disrupt the normal functioning of the market. The
Defendants acquired more than 100 percent of the outstanding issue of such bonds at a time
when they knew or were reckless in not knowing that market participants held significant short
positions in the bonds. The Defendants at various times withheld from the market the
information about their holdings of the bonds. The Defendants prevented their holdings in the
bonds from being used to cover the short positions, and Defendants demanded that holders of
the short positions cover those positions at highly inflated prices demanded by Defendants,
knowing that the market participants had no other source from which to obtain the bonds. The
Defendants took these actions for the purpose of, and which had the effect of, disrupting or
manipulating the market.

Much thanks to Thomas Gorman of the SEC Actions blog (a must-read for anyone who follows stock fraud) for pointing out the relationship between the Falcone case and the float lockdown scheme. Unlike me, Mr. Gorman is a securities lawyer.

Disclaimer: No relationship with any parties named above (except that I trade pump and dumps) and no positions in any stocks or funds mentioned. This blog has a terms of use that is incorporated by reference into this post; you can find all my disclaimers and disclosures there as well.

 

The spam stock promoter of IDOI: Not what it seems

Stock spam   Take a look at the following screenshots from two emails received last night:

They are two emails from different domain names (domain names that have no content on them: Likeact.com and Onlinemid.com) and purport to be the same “StockCastle” online newsletter. Also notice that they were sent to the same email address. Keep that email address in mind. They both have the exact same disclaimer displayed as an image, hosted at Tinypic.com):

The key disclosure:

Stockcastle.com, a wholly-owned subsidiary of Fidelity Ltd, Mall Tower, Wickhams Cay 1, Road Town, British Virgin Islands, has received a total of eight hundred thousand dollars to date from Jemsta Enterprises LTD, who was paid by shareholders of the profiled company for the sending of this email/newsletter

I have never subscribed that email address to StockCastle.com In fact, the email address that received those emails (and others like it) was never used to sign up for more than a few stock promotion websites. For example, take the email address jan[xxxx]1152011@goodevalue.com. The numbers in the email address refer to the date the address was created (January 15, 2011, although I actually created it the day before). I only ever used that email address to sign up to pump websites connected to BestDamnPennyStocks.com (including XtremePennyStocks.com which I have never determined if it is truly connected to BDPS), which I did on January 14, 2011. After that date I did not use the email to sign up for any other websites and I certainly didn’t use it to subscribe to StockCastle.com. Yet magically on March 3, 2011 I received an email promoting ATTD from up@StockCastle.com (and I have continued to receive pump emails from them on various stocks). Then on May 9th, 2011 I received an email from WallStreetAdvisors@xraybot.com promoting MDFI (the same stock promoted by the BDPS-related websites that day). Below is a quote from the disclaimer:

Wall  Street Penny Stock Advisors located at EMPRT Group Ltd St James House  13 Kensington Square London, W2 5LO United Kingdom makes no  representations as to such facts’ reliability, accuracy or  completeness. Endorser is not responsible for errors or omissions.  Endorser does not claim any special expertise or knowledge regarding  the medical sector . Endorser is neither acting as an investment advisor  nor providing individual investment advice. Wall Street Penny Stock  Advisors OWN NO SHARES, OPTIONS, WARRANTS in Medefile International Inc (MDFI).

Then on May 17th, 2011 I received my first email to this email address from report@ObscureStocks.com promoting SHOM.

This is a paid advertisement Stand Online LTD located P.O. Box 428 Road Town, Tortola, VG 2110 British Virgin Islands was paid fifteen million shares for the design, composition, and distribution of this email.

Below is the chart of SHOM from that period. Surprisingly, SHOM peaked four days after the pump email I received. [double check for other pump emails earlier]. The next new email sender that sent me a stock promotion spam to this email address was “WallsTreet”, note@wallstreetpennystockadvisors.com, on January 28th, 2012. Below is their disclaimer:The key part:

wallstreetpennystockadvisors.com located at EMPRT Group Ltd St James House 13 Kensington Square London, W2 5LO United Kingdom … wallstreetpennystockadvisors.com has received one hundred thousand dollars for sending this newsletter of Mustang Alliances Inc Corp from Jemsta Enterprises Ltd, who was paid by shareholders of the profiled company for sending of this email/newsletter

A few days later on February 1st, 2012 I received another pump email on MSTG from another new pump email address, hps@extrapicks.net. Below is an image of the disclaimer: The important text:

… HottestPennyStocks.net a wholly owned subsidiary of Flaster Knol LTD Baixada del Moli, 21 Andorra la Vella Andorra … HottestPennyStocks.net has been compensated one hundred thousand dollars for sending this newsletter of Mustance Alliances Inc from Jemsta Enterprises Ltd, who was paid by shareholders of the profiled company for the sending of this email/newsletter

Three days later I received another pump email on MSTG from a new pump email address, nstk@hotlivepicks.net. The disclaimer is below:

NewsStocks.net is a wholly owned subsidiary of Oevnak LTD of 3 St. Thomas St. Belize City Belize. Oevnak LTD has received one hundred thousand dollars from Jemsta Enterprises Tld, who was paid by shareholders of the profiled company for the sending of this email/newsletter

On March 2nd, the emails from extrapicks.net changed their name and disclaimer to be “Ult Stocks” ultm@extrapicks.net and the disclaimer is below:

UltimatePennyStock.com is a fully owned subsidiary of Promo Dombo LTD located 111 South Service Road Vritish Virgin Islands (VBI) … UltimatePennyStock.com has been compensated and has received a total of three hundred thousand dollars to date from Jemsta Enterprises Ltd who was paid by shareholders of the profiled company for the sending of this email/newsletter

The same day I also received the first email to this email address from “MagicPennyStocks6” magicpenny@ancientupdate.com, and that email promoted MSTG. The ancientupdate.com website is no longer online so I cannot obtain the disclaimer. I also received the first email from “M P S” magic@stockero.com on March 2nd. The disclaimer image is below:

The important parts of the disclaimer:

 MagicPennyStocks.com is a wholly owned subsidiary of Natti Reach LTD Nerine chambers, POB 905, Road Town, BVI … The owner of MagicPennyStocks.com has has [sic] received a total of three hundred thousand dollars to date from Jemsta Enterprises Ltd, who was paid by shareholders of the profiled company for the sending of this email/newsletter.

Two days later on March 4th I received an email from “UpK Stocks” coming@st0ck10.com promoting MSTG. Below is their disclaimer image and an excerpt showing the important details:

UpcomingPennyStocks.com has received a total of three hundred thousand dollars to date from Jemsta Enterprises Ltd, who was paid by shareholders of the profiled company for the sending of this email/newsletter … UpcomingPennyStocks.com is owned by : Hindla LTD located at Avda. Joan Marti 74, AD200 Encamp, Andorra.

The next day (March 5th) my email from “MagicPennyStocks” came from MagicPennyStocks@newschrist.com (that website is no longer online so I cannot post the disclaimer). The following day on March 6th the pump email I received from “Ultimate-Stock” came from ultim@smartnewslive.com (the disclaimer was the same as the above disclaimer mentioning Promo Kombo. On March 7th the MSTG pump email I received from “MagicPennystocks” came from MagicPennyStocks@factsupdate.com. The same day the email I received from “Ultimate Penny” came from ult@stock-intelligence.com. On March 8th the email I received from “Ultimate” came from penny@easystocksonline.com. Since the MSTG pump I have continued to receive pump emails from these various sources.

There was the EMPM pump on Saturday March 24th, (with the email from “MagicPennyStocks” coming from MagicPennyStocks@fluxupdate.com). The first trading day after the pump began was March 26th and after that day the stock quickly plunged.

One email from “Penny-Stocks” came from penny@mayupdate.com on March 27th. Its disclaimer is below:

UltimatePennyStock.com is a fully owned subsidiary of Promo Kombo LTD located 111 South Service Road British Virgin Islands (BVI) … UltimatePennyStock.com has been compensated and has received a total of seven hundred and fifty thousand dollars to date from Entersa Ltd, who was paid by shareholders of the profiled company …

Another pump email I received two days later on March 29th came from “NewsStock” news@muteup.com. Below is the disclaimer and an excerpt with the compensation:

NewsStocks.net is a wholly owned subsidiary of Oevnak LTD of 3 St. Thomas St. Belize City Belize. Oevnak LTD has received a total of seven hundred and fifty thousand dollars to date from Entersa Ltd, who was paid by shareholders of the profiled company for the sending of this email/newsletter.

After EMPM, these newsletters promoted MSTG again, followed by the promotion (only by the Stock Castle branded newsletters, still coming from many different email addresses) of Nasdaq-listed AMBT on May 29th.

Stockcastle.com, a wholly-owned subsidiary of Fidelity Ltd, Mall Tower, Wickhams Cay 1, Road Town, British Virgin Islands, has received a total of two hundred and fity thousand dollars to date from Jemsta Enterprises Ltd, who was paid by shareholders of the profiled company for the sending of this email/newsletter

AMBT traded very low volume but hit its peak on the second trading day after the stock promotion began. The price action prior to when I received the first pump emails is quite interesting — the company had no news or SEC filings immediately preceding or during the four days prior to the email when the stock ran from $4.40 to $8.00.

The next pump after AMBT was on IDOI, started on the evening of July 18th. Below is the chart after two days of stock promotion:

See the disclaimers from the various newsletters below:

Disclaimer. No position in any stocks mentioned and I have no relationship with anyone mentioned in this post. This blog has a terms of use that is incorporated by reference into this post; you can find all my disclaimers and disclosures there as well.

Jerry Williams aka “Monk” and Monk’s Den LLC sued by SEC in stock scalping scheme

Jerry Williams has been well known among the penny stock community for over two years. He was the driving force in what were described as ‘float lock-down’ schemes that purported to create massive short squeezes. Today the SEC sued him for ‘scalping’ his followers, in other words, selling into the buying of his followers without disclosing those trades.

From the SEC litigation release:

The Commission charged Williams with running a scalping scheme from which he made over $2.4 million. Scalping is a type of fraud in which the owner of shares of a security recommends that security for investment and then immediately sells it at a profit upon the rise in market price which follows the recommendation.

In particular, the Complaint alleges that Williams told potential investors that by buying up the outstanding shares, or float, of these companies, they could collectively trigger a “short squeeze” that would allow them to sell their stock to “market makers” that had shorted the stock. The Commission’s Complaint alleges that Williams falsely stated that he had previously used this strategy to make himself and others enormous profits. The Complaint alleges that in fact, unknown to potential investors, Williams had been hired by Cascadia and Green Oasis to promote their stock and had been compensated with millions of free and discounted shares of these stocks. According to the Complaint, Williams secretly sold millions of Cascadia and Green Oasis shares at the same time he was encouraging potential investors to buy, hold and accumulate these stocks.

This is a clear case and should be easy for the SEC to prove. I expect Williams to settle quickly. The case is Securities and Exchange Commission v. Jerry S. Williams, Monk’s Den, LLC, and First In Awareness, LLC, 3:12-cv-01068 (District of Connecticut, Complaint filed July 20, 2012).

Read the full SEC complaint (pdf).

Not mentioned in the lawsuit is the most recent of the float lock-down plays that I am aware of, 8000 Inc. (EIGH). The “Internet Forum” mentioned in the complaint is InvestorsHub (the cesspool of online investing).

Perhaps the thing that is hardest for a cynical trader such as myself to understand is how many people not only believed Williams but paid him to learn his ‘float lock-down’ method. From the complaint:

From December 2009 through October 2010, Williams held approximately 18 Monkinars in cities across the United States, including Los Angeles, Richmond, Phoenix, Atlanta, Indianapolis, Chicago, Portland, Pittsburgh, Grand Junction, Groton, and Boston. Williams also held Monkinars in Japan, Germany and Barbados. By October 2010, Williams charged $1,500 per person for a “Basic” Monkinar held in Boston, Massachusetts, which drew approximately 90 people.

I have believed all along that the whole ‘float lockdown’ scheme is illegal market manipulation; while the SEC did not pursue that course against Williams, Thomas Gorman at the SEC Actions blog points out that the SEC did argue that in the recent lawsuit against Philip Falcone (SEC v. Falcone, 12 Civ 5027 (S.D.N.Y. Filed June 27, 2012)). See my post on the Harbinger short squeeze case.

 

Disclaimer: No relationship with any parties named above (except that I trade pump and dumps) and no positions in any stocks or funds mentioned. This blog has a terms of use that is incorporated by reference into this post; you can find all my disclaimers and disclosures there as well.

Websites related to stock promoter AwsomePennyStocks.com

Below is the list of Awesomepennystocks.com (APS) related websites as of July 10th. Since then most of the websites formerly owned by Free Penny Alerts LLC now forward to VictoryStocks.com and all the websites formerly associated with HotOTC.com now forward to HotOTC.com.

Read this recent post to learn more of the email problems that APS has had recently.

 

 

 

Disclaimer: No relationship with any parties named above (except that I trade pump and dumps) and no positions in any stocks or funds mentioned. This blog has a terms of use that is incorporated by reference into this post; you can find all my disclaimers and disclosures there as well.

Update on the Marketing Integrale stolen email list lawsuit

See my earlier post on this lawsuit for background on this lawsuit. Since that post there have been four documents filed with the court. In reverse chronological order:

July 7, 2012: Plaintiff’s notice of dismissal (pdf)
June 28, 2012 Amended complaint (pdf)
June 27, 2012 Plaintiff’s response to defendant’s motion to dismiss (pdf)
June 26, 2012 Order on scheduling conference (pdf)

The order on the scheduling conference is unimportant — it just sets a date for the scheduling conference wherein the parties decide on the schedule for the trial; that was set for August 27th.

The plaintiff’s response to the motion to dismiss is simply the plaintiff’s argument for why the case should not be dismissed, in which they argue that they have alleged the wrongdoing with enough specificity and that they have done enough to connect defendant Mesa Marketing (the only respondent among the defendants) to the wrongdoing. This is an expected response to defendant Mesa Marketing’s motion to dismiss.

The amended complaint appears to add some details to the previously submitted initial complaint and amended complaint.

The plaintiff’s notice of dismissal is confusing to me. I really do not understand why they would dismiss the case now. From the notice:

 8. This dismissal is without prejudice to re-filing as to Plaintiff’s claims against Defendants for misappropriation of Plaintiff’s trade secrets, and violations of the Stored Wire and Electronic Communications Act, 18 U.S.C. §§ 2701-2710, and the Computer Fraud and Abuse Act, 18 U.S.C. § 1030, and for any other claim that Plaintiff has, known or unknown, against Defendants.

 

Disclaimer: No relationship with any parties in the suit. This blog has a terms of use that is incorporated by reference into this post; you can find all my disclaimers and disclosures there as well..

Awesomepennystocks.com added to SpamHaus DBL

[Note: As of 7/11/2012 Awesomepennystocks.com has been removed from the SpamHaus DBL]

Many people were surprised when Awesomepennystocks.com and the related group of 20 or more websites stopped promoting pump and dump stock Great Wall Builders (GWBU). The last email I received from Awesomepennystocks.com was at 2:30pm EST on June 24th. Just yesterday I saw a mention of a blog post by a noted spam fighter posted on the iHub Fraud Research Team / Due Diligence message board (the only good message board on iHub). The blog post is the SpamBouncer MainSleaze blog.

The post itself is fairly ordinary — a spam fighter indicated that an email address used only to check for spam received email from Awesomepennystocks.com. The blog post is also fairly old: it was posted on June 5th. The comments are the interesting part. Andrew Barrett, a higher-up at iContact (Director, ISP Relations & Deliverability) replied the same day, saying:

 Thanks for the heads-up, Catherine. I’m in Berlin at the moment, but I’ll have our compliance team drop a hammer.

Then there are a few comments from “centroazteca”, purportedly written on behalf of Awesomepennystocks.com (Centro Azteca S.A. is the entity listed at the bottom of their emails). Those comments are quite funny, especially where “centroazteca” writes, “We work with large companies such as Goldman Sachs, and only profile legitimate small companies who are looking to succeed.”

The first reply from “centroazteca” was posted on June 23rd, presumably as the people behind Awesomepennystocks.com realized that Spamhaus Block List was about to add their domain name to its list of domain names that it recommends that email providers not accept emails from (see an explanation of how blocklists work). On June 24th, Andrew Barrett posted the following comment on the blog post:

Hi Catherine,  I have killed the account. I apologize for the length of time it has taken to correctly and permanently remediate the issue. I will be working with management to identify all the points at which our processes broke down, and to correct them.  All the best, Andrew.

The blogger then asked why “centroazteca” had shown up three weeks after the blog post to comment, and Barrett responded by saying:

Well, I hate to name names, but it rhymes with “Spamhaus”

Tom Mortimer of Spamhaus replied to that comment (bold added):

SBL listings are public record, Andrew. It’s quite alright with us if you name names, although we do appreciate the discretion on other issues.  Speaking of which, there were some other issues than simple spam in this case. I can’t go into detail, but suffice it to say that this was most certainly a customer that no reasonable ESP or ISP would want on their network. :/

Right before posting this blog post, I checked the Spamhaus block list and found that AwesomePennyStocks.com is listed as being on the list (marked as a spammer). However, none of their other domain names or IP addresses of which I am aware appear on the list. Check here to see if it is still on the list. I think it is likely that having their main domain name added to the Spamhaus block list forced Awesomepennystocks.com to change internet hosting providers and judging from Barrett’s comments it is likely they are being forced to find a new email service provider.

A cursory check of a few of the websites of Awesomepennystocks.com shows that the welcome emails they are currently sending to new subscribers are being sent using Aweber.com, which is further evidence that iContact is no longer doing business with them.

Consider the timing of the last pump email on GWBU and the comment from Andrew Barrett. I do not think it is a coincidence that Awesomepennystocks.com and related websites have not sent any emails since Barrett wrote that he had “killed the account”. This is an interesting development and may mark a turning point in the effort to fight pump and dumps.

Disclaimer: No relationship with any parties named above (except that I trade pump and dumps) and no positions in any stocks or funds mentioned. This blog has a terms of use that is incorporated by reference into this post; you can find all my disclaimers and disclosures there as well.

 

 

Spam pump and dump: VIBE edition

The majority of pump and dumps are run by stock promoters who advertise online to get people to sign up to their emails lists and then follow the law (at least the CANSPAM law) only sending the stock promotion emails to those who sign up. But spam pumps are not uncommon. Some spam pumps may at least have the veneer of legality by obtaining another pumper’s email list and offering a way to unsubscribe. Some spam pumps are a bit more blatant. VIBE was pumped via spam email from a variety of different fake or free email addresses over last weekend and Monday and Tuesday. Unlike most spam pumps, it even had pretty graphics.

While VIBE did move up impressively on Monday morning, like most spam pumps, however, the stock soon began to drop like a rock. Below is a two-day chart with 5-minute candlesticks.

 

(click to embiggen)

See the pump image below:


(click to embiggen)

Disclaimer: No relationship with any parties named above and no positions in any stocks or funds mentioned. This blog has a terms of use that is incorporated by reference into this post; you can find all my disclaimers and disclosures there as well.

Penny stock lawyer Kenneth Eade sued by SEC

The SEC today sued numerous individuals involved in Gold Standard Mining Corp (litigation release here). The parties are named below (emphasis mine):

On June 29, 2012, the Securities and Exchange Commission filed a civil action in the United States District Court for the Central District of California against Gold Standard Mining Corp. (“Gold Standard”), its Chief Executive Officer/Chief Financial Officer Panteleimon Zachos, attorney Kenneth G. Eade, auditor E. Randall Gruber and his firm Gruber & Company LLC.

The case itself is not particularly unusual. The SEC alleges that the company materially misrepresented the financial and legal details of an acquisition and that the company filed false financial statements. This is par for the course in penny land. What is much more interesting to me is that the SEC sued the company’s attorney, Kenneth G. Eade, and the company’s auditor, Randall Gruber. SEC lawsuits against penny stock lawyers and auditors, while not unknown, are far less common than they should be. Penny stock fraud would be a lot harder without auditors who are willing to ignore suspicious actions and lawyers who give false opinion letters to allow shares to be registered. Below is the essence of the SEC’s case (emphasis mine):

In its complaint, the Commission alleges that, between May 2009 and April 2011, Gold Standard filed numerous reports about its purported Russian gold mining operations that were materially false and misleading in various respects. According to the complaint, Gold Standard represented that it had acquired a Russian gold mining company known as Ross Zoloto Co., Ltd. (“Ross Zoloto”), but did not inform investors that it had agreed to allow the prior owner of Ross Zoloto to keep profits from existing operations or of issues surrounding Russian government registration or approval of the business combination. The complaint also alleges that Gold Standard filed false or misleading financial statements.

The complaint alleges that Gold Standard and Zachos were responsible for these misstatements, and that Eade, Gruber and Gruber & Co. substantially assisted Gold Standard in making these false and misleading statements. The complaint further alleges that Gruber & Co., through its sole member Edward Randall Gruber, misrepresented in an audit opinion that it had audited the company’s 2007, 2008 and 2009 consolidated financial statements in accordance with standards of the Public Company Accounting Oversight Board.

See the full SEC complaint (PDF).

If the name Kenneth Eade sounds familiar, it is because he is a well-known lawyer for penny stock companies who made the mistake of suing a bunch of message board posters (including Janice Shell) and InvestorsHub for libel back in 2011. He lost that case badly. Below is a quote from the iHub press release about the verdict:

 Kenneth Eade sued iHub and 10 John Doe posters in February of this year for allegedly defamatory posts made on the iHub website. iHub raised several meritorious defenses, including that the comments made by the John Doe posters were protected speech under the First Amendment and that immunity was provided by the Communications Decency Act.

In his 12-page ruling, The Honorable John A. Kronstadt granted iHub’s motion to strike Eade’s complaint in its entirety and without leave for him to amend. The court’s ruling effectively dismissed the action against the John Doe posters as well.

Dave Lawrence, spokesperson for iHub commented, “This federal court ruling finding in favor of iHub and awarding legal costs should serve as notice to others who would engage in frivolous litigation, try to plead around CDA immunity or attempt to chill the public’s exercise of freedom of speech.”

 

Disclaimer: No relationship with any parties named above and no positions in any stocks or funds mentioned. This blog has a terms of use that is incorporated by reference into this post; you can find all my disclaimers and disclosures there as well.

You can’t fix stupid: Investing in pumps

In terms of how long it has been promoted, how long the stock did not go down, and the likely profits of insiders who paid for the stock promotion, UAPC has been one of the more successful stock promotions of 2012. As with all stock promotions, however, the end result is that investors get killed, the insiders who paid for the stock promotions make easy money by selling their shares at inflated prices, and the company never achieves any of the things the stock promoters said it would.

UAPC was featured as Chuck Jaffe’s stupid investment of the week last week. The best part was the response from Barry Gross, who handles the company’s investor relations:

 “We would not want anyone to invest on the basis of that [flyer],” Gross said. “But you would be amazed at how many people have received it — or seen something written about us — called us, been told that what they’re looking at is fraudulent and not a good or fair representation of the company, and then they say ‘But where can I buy shares.?’”

This kind of mindset is why stock promotions work. People believe too easily in the beautiful lies told by the stock promoters.

(click chart to embiggen)

Here is what one of the idiots who bought the stock had to say about UAPC (emphasis mine):

 He understood that the “newsletter” he was looking at was hype and even figured — correctly as it turns out — that by the time he was looking at the pamphlet, the stock had already popped and the buzz might be wearing off.  That said, he felt that if he could buy the company back in the $1 range talked about in the pamphlet, he would benefit when the buzz is gone and the intrinsic value of the company is left for the market to see.  “United American really does seem to have locations on the biggest oil deposit in the United States,” Richard wrote, “and the stock is cheap, so what is the harm in taking a flyer? If they hit on one of the properties, wouldn’t the stock do just what [the letter] says?”

The problem is that the stock was not cheap. The stock price doesn’t matter. Stocks are like pies — what matters is not the price per slice (they can be arbitrarily large or small) but the price of the whole pie. With over 45 million shares outstanding as of May and a price around $1, UAPC had a market capitalization of over $45 million despite having almost no assets and no revenues. Even without the pump such a company (unless it was led by someone with tons of experience) wouldn’t be worth $1 million, let alone $45 million.

If you ever have the urge to invest in a penny stock that is touted by a stock promoter, please give me a call. I would be glad to write you a very, very cheap one-year European call option on the stock.

Disclaimer: No relationship with any parties named above and no positions in any stocks or funds mentioned (unfortunately — I would’ve loved to short UAPC and I was previously short but my brokers have not had shares to short for over a month). This blog has a terms of use that is incorporated by reference into this post; you can find all my disclaimers and disclosures there as well..

Are VIX Futures ETPs Effective Hedges? No.

This purpose of this post is not to bash certain supposed trading gurus who were so incredibly stupid as to lose money owning TVIX when it was trading at a nearly 100% premium to its NAV (for the pedants, yes I know that ETNs don’t technically have NAVs — they have indicative values, but those function the same way as NAV — it is the value of the underlying asset or derivative contract). Learn more about TVIX at the VelocityShares website. (Speaking of TVIX, I would be chary of buying any product that has scores of references in its prospectus to when (not if) its value reaches $0.)

No, this post is just to let people know that using VIX futures and ETNs based on it for hedging a long stock portfolio is not the best idea. From a paper just posted to SSRN a few days ago (emphasis mine):

Exchange-traded products (ETPs) linked to futures contracts on the CBOE S&P 500 Volatility Index (VIX) have grown in volume and assets under management in recent years, in part because of their perceived potential to hedge against stock market losses.

In this paper we study whether VIX-related ETPs can effectively hedge a portfolio of stocks. We find that while the VIX increases when large stock market losses occur, ETPs which track short term VIX futures indices are not effective hedges for stock portfolios because of the negative roll yield accumulated by such futures-based ETPs. ETPs which track medium term VIX futures indices suffer less from negative roll yield and thus appear somewhat better hedges for stock portfolios. Our findings cast doubt on the potential diversification benefit from holding ETPs linked to VIX futures contracts.

The paper is Are VIX Futures ETPs Effective Hedges? by Deng, McCann, and Wang. See the full abstract and download the paper at SSRN.

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