Trade recap for January 26th

Only one tiny trade today. I review other interesting stocks from the day in the video.

Daily profit: $57.72

+    BOT    300    VCBI    false    Stock    6.000    USD    ARCA    14:04:34        1.50
+    SLD    300    VCBI    false    Stock    6.206    USD    ISLAND    14:19:08        2.50

Disclosure: No positions in any stock mentioned. This blog has a terms of use and you can find all my disclaimers and disclosures there as well; my full terms of use is incorporated by reference into this post.

My best stock watchlist ever!

Some nice setups for Monday.

EcoBlu Products, Inc. (Public, OTC:ECOB) – I am short 30,000 shares from Friday. The pump is over and the main pumper, BestDamnPennystocks.com (which was promised $250,000 in cash to pump the stock) wrote in an email today, “To all my long time members I want to congratulate everyone on a sweet win to start the new year. With that said I believe ECOB has hit some resistance and is now done!” It is a no-brainer that the stock will fall more over the next couple days and I will look to cover during that time period. IB looks like it will have more shares to short Monday and if the stock does not gap down too much it would be possible to get short ECOB at a price not much worse than my $0.93 entry price.

ecob

American Lithium Minerals Inc (Public, OTC:AMLME) – Closed up just a couple cents Friday … I would probably have shorted it then if I had not been busy watching every tick of ECOB. This is a re-pump and it is up 100% in just four days so there is plenty of room to fall.

amlme

Bergamo Acquisition Corp (Public, OTC:BGMO) – Previously pumped carcass of a company looking like it had its first pump day Friday. I bought 10,000 shares near the end of the day at $0.2814 and sold 3,000 right before close at $0.34. I will look to sell into a likely gap up. I wouldn’t recommend buying this Monday … I just want to illustrate that the only two reliable ways to make money on pump & dumps are to buy very early in the pump or to short sell as the pump starts to fade.

bgmo

ALKANE INC (Public, PINK:ALKN) – Screw paraffins! This is another pump. Some people I know at the Investors Underground chat (sign up using my link to save 15% per quarter!) are holding it over the weekend and they made money holding it the last few days. But from $0.03 to $0.38 in four days? If this shows weakness and there are borrows I will look to short. Hopefully it has another big up day first.

alkn

Luna Innovations Incorporated (Public, NASDAQ:LUNA) – Awesome breakout Friday. This is what happens when a $30m company (now $50m market cap) inks a huge deal with a huge company and it is meaningful. Notice the quote from ISRG in the press release. Also notice the huge breakout over LUNA’s September high of $3.29. Tim Sykes bought the stock at $3.36 right after the breakout. His TimAlert subscribers could have bought following the alert at $3.75 or so (I bought at $3.72 but sold quickly); LUNA went up to $4.90 in after-hours trading. I expect a huge gap and maybe some more of a run Monday.

luna

Cyclacel Pharmaceuticals Inc. (Public, NASDAQ:CYCC) – Still two words, “cancer cure.” A small black candle Friday may not be the end of this company with some nice drug results and the possibility for lots of hype (and no, I don’t believe the hype). Might be nice to buy on red/green and $3.00 cross.

cycc

Pacific Ethanol Inc (Public, NASDAQ:PEIX) – Up 60% on rather fluffy news? I’m short-biased but probably won’t touch it due to other plays being better.

peix

Motors Liquidation Company (Public, OTC:MTLQQ) – Up some more Friday, having now moved from $0.50 to $0.85 in a week … I’m still short-biased if it shows weakness.

mtlqq

Heartland Payment Systems, Inc. (Public, NYSE:HPY)– Good move Friday after it settled legal claims regarding a data security breach. $60m ain’t cheap but it won’t kill the company. A break above $15.15 would be huge.

hpy

SkyPeople Fruit Juice, Inc. (Public, AMEX:SPU) – There is seriously a company called SkyPeople Fruit Juice?!?!?

spu

Disclosure: Short 30,000 ECOB and long 7,000 BGMO. No positions in any other stock mentioned. This blog has a terms of use and you can find all my disclaimers and disclosures there as well; my full terms of use is incorporated by reference into this post.

Trade recap for December 16th: Failing utterly on SNSS

I have updated my disclosures and disclaimers, which is now upgraded to a terms of use. Please read it: http://www.reapertrades.com/terms-of-use/

I suggest reading the amusing exchange between Tim Sykes and The Lionmaster about EONC today. Here are Lionmaster’s first comment and Sykes’ first reply.

+    BOT    3,000    SNSS    false    Stock    1.850    USD    DRCTEDGE    08:09:08        15.00
+    BOT    3,000    SNSS    false    Stock    1.670    USD    ARCA    09:38:29        15.00
+    SLD    10,000    EONC    false    Stock    3.179    USD    SMART    11:36:09        50.00
+    BOT    10,000    EONC    false    Stock    3.130    USD    DRCTEDGE    11:37:42        50.00

Daily profit: $22.00

Disclosure: No positions in anything mentioned in this post. This blog has a terms of use and you can find all my disclaimers there as well; my full terms of use is incorporated by reference into this post.

Trade recap for December 14th

Another day where I traded a lot of SNSS.

Daily profit: $733.16

Trades at IB:

+    BOT    2,500    SNSS    false    Stock    2.220    USD    ARCA    09:31:21        12.50
SLD    2,500    JYHW    false    Stock    0.7150    USD    ARCAEDGE    09:32:22        8.94
+    SLD    2,500    SNSS    false    Stock    2.300    USD    SMART    09:32:32        12.50
+    BOT    30    BRK B    false    Stock    3,300.933    USD    NYSE    14:13:11        1.00
SLD    1    BRK A    false    Stock    99163.00    USD    NYSE    14:14:05        1.00
+    BOT    800    SNSS    false    Stock    2.110    USD    SMART    14:24:30        4.00
+    SLD    800    SNSS    false    Stock    2.120    USD    ISLAND    14:27:43        4.00
BOT    300    BHWX    false    Stock    0.9000    USD    SMART    15:59:00        1.35

Disclosure: Long 300 BHWX, short 30 BRK-B, long 1 BRK-A. No positions in anything else mentioned in this post. I have a disclosure policy and you can find all my disclaimers there as well; those disclosure & disclaimers are incorporated by reference into this post.

Recap for Friday the 11th: Support, once broken, becomes resistance (with special guest Joe Biden)

I had plenty of trades today, all but one of them in SNSS.

Daily profit: ($479.00)

Weekly profit: $388.14

SNSS 1-day chart
snss1day

SNSS 2-day chart
SNSS2day

Trades at IB:
+    BOT    4,700    SNSS    false    Stock    1.487    USD    ARCA    09:29:48        23.50
+    SLD    4,700    SNSS    false    Stock    1.494    USD    ARCA    09:30:56        23.50
+    BOT    4,000    SNSS    false    Stock    1.550    USD    ARCA    09:32:34        20.00
+    SLD    4,000    SNSS    false    Stock    1.500    USD    SMART    09:33:22        20.00
+    BOT    4,000    SNSS    false    Stock    1.570    USD    ARCA    10:01:23        20.00
+    SLD    4,000    SNSS    false    Stock    1.611    USD    BATS    10:03:18        20.00
+    BOT    3,000    SNSS    false    Stock    2.020    USD    SMART    10:45:22        15.00
+    SLD    3,000    SNSS    false    Stock    1.957    USD    SMART    10:46:21        15.00
BOT    2,500    JYHW    false    Stock    0.6400    USD    SMART    15:48:24        8.00

Disclosure: Long 2500 shares of JYHW. No positions in anything else mentioned in this post. I have a disclosure policy and you can find all my disclaimers there as well; those disclosure & disclaimers are incorporated by reference into this post.

Trade recap for November 17th: My pathetic inability to trade supernova NLST

Another disappointing day; I captured less than 1/3 of the profit that I should have had in NLST. Still, another $1k+ day.

Trades at IB:
SLD    1,000    IMGG    false    Stock (OTCBB)    1.6400    USD    ARCAEDGE    09:43:02        5.00
SLD    500    IMGG    false    Stock (OTCBB)    1.6400    USD    ARCAEDGE    09:43:33        2.50
BOT    500    IMGG    false    Stock (OTCBB)    1.4350    USD    ARCAEDGE    10:20:52        2.50
BOT    500    IMGG    false    Stock (OTCBB)    1.4600    USD    ARCAEDGE    10:21:39        2.50
BOT    500    IMGG    false    Stock (OTCBB)    1.4700    USD    ARCAEDGE    10:22:23        2.50

nlst

NLST 4 day chart
nlst4day

NLST 1 day chart
nlst1day

Daily profit: $1,574.43 (after adding in profit on position closed after-hours; see comment #1 below)

Disclosure: Short 5,000 shares of NLST. No positions in any other stocks mentioned in this post. I have a disclosure policy and you can find all my disclaimers there as well; those disclosure & disclaimers are incorporated by reference into this post.

NLST goes supernova

There is no watchlist tonight. That would be superfluous. There is only NLST (okay, IMGG is also interesting, but NLST is much better). Did you follow my advice to ALFSS? I did and I am ready. (And by the way, ALFSS certainly does not mean short it as soon as you can. Supernovae make great longs before they make great shorts and I tried to long it Friday). If you are interested in trading supernovae, watch this video where I lay out my battle plan.

For further edification, see my trade recaps of recent supernova GGC.

nlst

nlst_3day

nlst_1day

Disclosure: No net positions in any stocks mentioned in this post. I have a disclosure policy and you can find all my disclaimers there as well; those disclosure & disclaimers are incorporated by reference into this post.

Trade recap for Friday the 13th: Previous resistance becomes support; set stops accordingly

I have to be the only one to lose money going long NLST today. Oyvey.

After recording the video I bought 50,000 VGPR at $0.0201 and sold 50,000 at $0.021  +$23.62 realized

BOT    2,300    NLST    false    Stock (NMS)    2.3200    USD    SMART    09:32:00        11.50
SLD    2,300    NLST    false    Stock (NMS)    2.1700    USD    ISLAND    09:33:56        11.50
+    SLD    200    VRMLQ    false    Stock    23.500    USD    SMART    09:34:01        1.00
SLD    200    VRMLQ    false    Stock    22.90    USD    SMART    09:38:04        1.00
+    BOT    2,300    NLST    false    Stock (NMS)    2.337    USD    ISLAND    09:43:37        11.50
+    SLD    2,300    NLST    false    Stock (NMS)    2.280    USD    SMART    09:44:34        11.50
+    BOT    2,300    NLST    false    Stock (NMS)    2.430    USD    ISLAND    09:46:39        11.50
+    SLD    2,300    NLST    false    Stock (NMS)    2.453    USD    SMART    09:47:42        11.50
BOT    1,000    IMGG    false    Stock (OTCBB)    1.6400    USD    ARCAEDGE    14:14:35        5.00
SLD    1,000    IMGG    false    Stock (OTCBB)    1.6500    USD    ARCAEDGE    14:22:40        5.00
BOT    50,000    VGPR    false    Stock    0.0200    USD    SMART    14:56:19        5.00
SLD    25,000    VGPR    false    Stock    0.0220    USD    SMART    15:02:48        2.75
+    SLD    25,000    VGPR    false    Stock    .019    USD    SMART    15:26:42        2.42

Daily profit: ($99.86)

Weekly profit: $3264.56

For Livestock viewers, here’s the Grand Canyon from a helicopter:

helicopter

Disclosure: No net positions in any stocks mentioned in this post. I have a disclosure policy and you can find all my disclaimers there as well; those disclosure & disclaimers are incorporated by reference into this post.

Watchlist for 11/11: The next GVBP!

SNVP is the new GVBP. ALFSS!

snvp

CRXX was a nice continuation play today from last night’s watchlist. Potential short on red.

crxx

Nothing else excites me. That is fine considering I’ll be intently watching SNVP.

Disclosure: No positions in any stocks mentioned in this post. I have a disclosure policy and you can find all my disclaimers there as well; those disclosure & disclaimers are incorporated by reference into this post.

eOn Communications (EONC): Up on earnings or hype?

I sold short a number of shares of eOn (Nasdaq: EONC) today, realizing $1176.40 in profits and retaining a 2000 share short position over night (I tried to sell short more shares on a spike but my main broker, Interactive Brokers, ran out of shares and the spike faded before I could short in my secondary brokerage account) . I initially shorted in response to a trade alert from Tim Sykes (sign up for TimAlerts here) although I re-shorted once I realized how good of a potential short EONC was. Sykes is one of the few day traders around who uses fundamental research as well as technical indicators to decide how to trade.

After Sykes shorted EONC because

this company is up 100% today on “positive” earnings on an apparent 50%+ increase in revenues…what they fail to mention is that that increase is only due to including revenues numbers from an acquisition and without it, revenues actually dropped because their products aren’t in great demand. Not to mention these “positive earnings” might get a lot of hype from today’s PR but they’re nothing new, here’s the SEC filing from a week ago where they talk about revenues

Quote excerpted from the alert Syks sent to his TimAlert subscribers. See his post about the trade.

This trade is a great example of how traders can benefit from understanding fundamentals … the company’s earnings press release was not actually news because the information in it had already been released in the 10-k (annual report) the company filed back on October 29th. Normally companies release earnings in press releases as soon as the data are available, maybe a week or so before the quarter’s results are sent to the SEC in a 10-Q or 10-K. Considering that the company’s results were available for over a week, why did the stock spike over 100% today when the earnings report hit the newswires?

The likely reason for the stock spiking today is that most traders do not read the SEC filings before deciding what to trade. They take a brief look at Yahoo! Finance and look at the news there. Earnings releases are usually new information (because they usually precede the SEC filings) so stock traders and individual investors all bought EONC today in response to the ‘good’ news. As they pushed the price up it showed up on the screens of momentum day-traders who then bought en masse, sending EONC up even more. Even though the press release today caused the stock rise, it was not new information, so the stock will likely dive in the coming days.

How is eOn doing?

eOn’s business involves VoIP and telephone routing products. After a quick glance at the company’s recently filed 10-K, I am glad I am short and not long.

eOn, while it was profitable in its most recent two quarters, has never been consistently profitable.

For the year ended July 31, 2009, eOn had a net loss of $339,000. eOn has incurred substantial losses since inception through July 31, 2009 resulting in an accumulated deficit of $48,856,000. eOn may not be able to achieve profitability from operations in the future.

eOn was also only profitable in the most recent quarters because of its acquisition of Cortelco. While it earned $111,000 in the most recent quarter, it would have lost money were it not for the Cortelco acquisition (Cortelco has earned $430,000 since being bought by eOn and it has only been 4 months since the deal closed).

Financial results for the current fiscal year include net income of $430,000 of Cortelco Systems Holding Corp., which was acquired on April 1, 2009.

While the earnings press release from today noted that:

Total year revenue increased 52% to $10,645,000 from $6,994,000 in fiscal year 2008.

This is due entirely to the Cortelco acquisition. Here the company describes revenues in the 10-K:

Net revenue increased approximately 52% to $10,645,000 for the year ended July 31, 2009 from $6,994,000 for the previous fiscal year. The increase reflects $4,231,000 in Cortelco revenue subsequent to the acquisition on April 1, 2009, partially offset by lower eQueue revenue from products, maintenance and professional services, and lower Millennium revenue compared to the prior year.

In actuality, were it not for the acquisition of Cortelco, eOn’s revenues would have decreased by 8%! But an 8% decrease does not sound as good as a 52% increase, so the company chose not to put the 8% figure in the press release.

Related party transactions

One thing an investor never wants to see is related-party transactions. These are always red flags, indicative of a company’s executives enriching themselves at shareholder expense. Related-party transactions also sometimes accompany fraud. Here are some of eOn’s related party transactions. All quotes are from the most recent 10-K unless otherwise noted.

Let’s start with the chairman of the board, who was also CEO and president until June 2008. Here is an interesting transaction between eOn and Symbio:

On August 1, 2007 and August 27, 2007, the Company made strategic investments in Symbio of $500,000 and $400,000 for 250,000 and 200,000 shares, respectively, or approximately 3% of Symbio. Symbio is a China-based provider of software development, testing, and globalization outsourcing services to multinational companies. The investment is expected to establish eOn as a preferred provider of telephony and contact center solutions for Symbio’s outsourcing engagements requiring customer interaction management. eOn also gains the ability to provide Symbio outsourcing services to its customer base. Symbio is a privately held entity and the Company accounts for its 3% investment by the cost method.

At the time of the second investment in Symbio for $400,000, the Company received a put option from David Lee, effective beginning January 1, 2008 and expiring January 1, 2011. The put option allows the Company to sell to David Lee a maximum aggregate of 200,000 shares of its investment in Symbio for a per share price of $2.00.

In consideration of the put option, in the event that the 200,000 shares are sold without exercise of the put option before January 1, 2011, the Company has agreed to pay David Lee 50% of the proceeds in excess of $1,000,000.

So Lee entered into a derivative contract with eOn hedging the value of Symbio’s shares. Here is a question for management: if Symbio is worth investing in, is it not worthwhile for the company to retain all the upside of the investment?

Lee was also the controlling shareholder in Cortelco, which was acquired by eOn back on April 1, 2009. Here are some details on that transaction, from the press release announcing it:

In exchange for all the outstanding shares of Cortelco stock, Cortelco shareholders will receive an initial aggregate payment of $500,000. All subsequent payments will be made to Cortelco stockholders quarterly in an amount based upon Cortelco’s quarterly earnings after closing, less $25,000 quarterly distributions made to eOn until eOn has received $500,000. Contingent primarily upon the level of Cortelco earnings after closing, all Cortelco stockholders are eligible to receive quarterly payments in cash until the full $11,000,000 consideration has been paid. David Lee, Chairman and CEO of eOn, is the Chairman and the controlling shareholder of Cortelco.

Whenever an executive of a public company sells a private company to the public company, shareholders in the public company need to ask who benefits from the deal. Such transactions are rife with conflicts of interest.

Auditor issues

eOn’s auditor, GHP Horwath, receieved criticism from the PCAOB.

The inspection team identified what it considered to be audit deficiencies. The deficiencies identified in one of the audits reviewed included a deficiency of such significance that it appeared to the inspection team that the Firm did not obtain sufficient competent evidential matter to support its opinion on the issuer’s financial statements. That deficiency was the failure to sufficiently evaluate the appropriateness of the issuer’s recognition and presentation of revenue from certain maintenance service contracts.

While that does not mean that eOn is doing anything wrong or that their auditor is incompetent, it is certainly a negative.

Aggressive accounting

The company also has a bit of aggressive accounting:

The Company capitalized approximately $243,000 of software development costs related to a new IP PBX that is under development.

Capitalization of software costs is both allowed and required, according to FASB Statement No. 86, but it can only be capitalized once it is feasible. It is still software industry practice to capitalize very few software development costs. Furthermore, there are slightly different standards for software that is to be included with hardware. Here is what the FASB stated:

The Board concluded that both establishing technological feasibility of the software component and completing research and development activities for the hardware component are necessary for capitalization of software costs to begin.

As eOn states in their 10-K that the “IP PBX that is under development,” it does not appear to me to be eligible for capitalization of the software developed to run it. When I run my own calculations on the results of a company in this situation, I correct for the aggressive accounting, de-capitalizing the amount spent and expensing it instead, which of course reduces the company’s book value and earnings.

Incentive Payments on Cortelco Acquisition

One thing I hate to see is when a company acts in such a way to increase current earnings and revenues at the expense of future earnings. This was the crucial problem I identified with the master franchise agreements that Noble Roman’s used (Boston Chicken also used those back in the 1990s to generate nice earnings before ultimately heading into bankruptcy). It is hard to find a business idea worse than master franchise agreements. That being said, I also dislike earn-outs in acquisitions. Companies that purchase a company and then pay based partly on the earnings on the purchased company over a period of time lose out on a significant portion of the upside (although these agreements do somewhat mitigate downside risk). The quarterly payments that eOn will make to the former owners of Cortelco are as follows (quotes from the merger agreement):

For the first 20 Quarterly Payouts, each Quarterly Payout shall be equal to the sum of (i) the Adjusted Cash Flow for the Quarterly Payout Period, plus (ii) 50% of the Pro Forma Net Tax Savings, minus (iii) $25,000, plus (iv) the Quarterly True-Up. All subsequent Quarterly Payouts shall be equal to the sum of (i) the Adjusted Cash Flow for the Quarterly Payout Period, plus (ii) 50% of the Pro Forma Net Tax Savings, plus (iii) the Quarterly True-Up.

This indicates that for at least five years (and continuing until Cortelco shareholders have been paid $11 million), the former owners of Cortelco will receive all the earnings of Cortelco and 50% of the tax savings from the merger. Shareholders of eOn will get comparatively little.

1.2 Adjusted Cash Flow. The earnings of the Surviving Entity after payment of all expenses associated with the Surviving Entity before tax as adjusted as set forth on Schedule 1.2 attached hereto, calculated in accordance with GAAP and Schedule 1.2 of this Agreement.

Conclusion

The only good thing I can say about the company is that it has plenty of cash ($3 million as of the most recent 10-K). It is also a tiny company, with a market capitalization using the closing price of its stock today of $8.32 million. Considering the aforementioned red flags, the company’s long history of losses, limited upside from the Cortelco acquisition, and a tangible book value of only $5.4 million, I would have no interest in buying EONC stock and I am glad I am short it.

Learn more …

Want to learn how to read SEC filings like I can? It can help you whether you are a fundamental investor, fundamental short seller, or a short-term trader who uses fundamentals along with technicals. Check out my 10+ hour DVD on the subject. It has 5 hours of me and 5 hours of Tim Sykes (get a feel for how he looks at companies by seeing his post on EONC), with each of us talking about how we look through filings. Read more about the money I have made by understanding SEC filings. The DVD will sell for $497 but is currently available for only $397 for those who pre-order.

Disclosure: Short 2000 shares of EONC. I may close this position at any time. The SEC filing DVD is being produced and sold by Tim Sykes’ company Bullship Press LLC and I will receive royalties on every sale. I will also receive a commission for every DVD bought through my affiliate link to Sykes’ web store. To see more details on my relationship with Sykes, please see my disclosures. I have a disclosure policy and you can find all mydisclaimers there as well; those disclosure & disclaimers are incorporated by reference into this post.